Black Swans and the Power of Decision Intelligence

A Decision Intelligence platform should work with, and not against, existing platforms and transactional systems to improve decision making.

Predicting the future has always been the purview of sci-fi and fantasy, but in the real world, it also used to be a lot easier. Extreme disruptions used to be as rare as an actual black swan—such as the March 2021 blockage of the Suez Canal by the cargo vessel Ever Given.

Today, black swan events are just about the only dependable factor in planning around complex systems anymore. Relying on traditional tools and approaches in the face of rapid and interconnected changes won’t be enough. Businesses need a new type of solution that grows and adapts with the times.

In the supply chain world, we’re turning to Decision Intelligence, which is the digitization, augmentation, and automation of decision making to more quickly react to an ever-changing environment.

Enterprises need to collect massive amounts of historical and real-time data, analyze it at scale, and nimbly advance recommendations for quick turnaround decisions. Even before the wave of black swan events during the past few years, the number and speed of business decisions demanding attention often exceeded the supply of decision makers to address them all.

But by applying both software and domain expertise, we can solve supply chain problems and help get everything from food to raw materials to consumer goods where they need to be—in the hands of the people who expect to receive them on time and in full.

Undiscovered Paths

Perfect data and processes, of course, don’t exist, no matter how large or small your industry or business footprint is. But you don’t need to have everything perfectly mapped out to take advantage of Decision Intelligence. The most important factor is a willingness to sidestep the inherent rigidity of traditional supply chain systems and see undiscovered paths within the bigger picture.

No artificial intelligence could have warned us about flooding in Germany, a blockage in the Suez Canal, or a global pandemic. Still, while you can’t avoid risks, you can minimize their impact by quickly adapting to circumstances as they arise, no matter how large or small.

The solution: A platform that gives global visibility into not only the state of your organization and supply chain but also external information that could impact your ability to deliver – from market signals and supply risks to weather and logistics –to inform your decisions.

By analyzing a range of large, dynamic datasets and data sources, machines can recognize an event earlier and react faster. Decision Intelligence can triage recommendations, which can then translate from a mathematical model into real-world action.

While AI is increasingly being used to augment analytics and inform recommendations, the ability to operationalize these models is still a challenge. An ideal platform tightly integrates the ability to utilize these models in a business context, linking them to processes and policies, and automatically executing the decisions made in the underlying transactional systems.

Having this end-to-end process on a single platform allows for future automation of decision making, which will free up humans for the creative discovery work that suits us best while improving our ability to respond to complexity with better, more complete information.

A Decision Intelligence platform works with, not against, existing solutions and transactional systems to improve decision making – complementing a company’s existing tech infrastructure by gathering and harmonizing data, then augmenting or automating decisions.

When we can quickly assess our options and determine the best path forward, we’re doing more than serving our customers. Since supply chains are dynamic systems, we affect our inputs whenever we enact a decision about them. Redirecting a cargo ship or sourcing inventory from another country isn’t a neutral choice, especially when it comes to inefficiencies and material waste.

Given how much energy and how many resources supply chain management requires, in this case, decision automation can have a measurable, positive, and self-reinforcing impact, not just on bottom lines but on economies and climate – two enormous factors in globally escalating black swan events.

Decision Intelligence

Decision Intelligence, while transformative in nature, does not require a transformation of your underlying technical infrastructure. It does not, or should not, require time-consuming and costly changes to technology infrastructure and processes.

A Decision Intelligence platform should work with, and not against, existing platforms and transactional systems to improve decision making. Best-in-class Decision Intelligence platforms augment and automate decision making, helping teams focus on strategy and areas with high value.

Technology is here to serve human capital, not replace it. By focusing on augmenting and automating decisions, Decision Intelligence ultimately increases the decision-making capacity of the organization.

Computers can quickly pull together vast swaths of data from sources across the business, modeling innumerable combinations of outcomes. By using the Decision Intelligence platform, every decision has the potential to be made.

The business of prediction has always been fraught with challenges. It’s also an exciting frontier for technologists and for businesses themselves. Whatever the state or size of your problem is, Decision Intelligence, artificial intelligence, and advanced analytics can offer actionable solutions for the world we live in now.